Region V Statistics Loss (2025)

We are off to Region V in our statistics loss series that takes a look at every team in the nation and what they are going to lose to graduation. This region consists of Atlantic East, Centennial, Landmark and Middle Atlantic Commonwealth. This region also has Salisbury who were previously covered in our C2C Statistics Loss article. It also has the independent team Trinity Washington, which we’ll include here. It should be noted that I covered the Commonwealth in the Region IV article as I tackled the Middle Atlantic as a whole.

As a reminder, “statistics loss” or “statistics lost” are the statistics accumulated the previous season by seniors. These are the stats that will be lost to the team in 2025 due to their graduation. I like to look at this data as it gives us an indication as to how the team should fare in the upcoming season. Of course, with any rule or theory, we have caveats. Caveats like some seniors are seniors academically but may have another year of eligibility. This would be a caveat that helps the team. Caveats that hurt the team further are players that leave due to injury or homesickness or financial reasons. These statistics also don’t account for the recruits coming in or that prized DI transfer. This is simply a baseline of where the team is probably going to be without those caveats running amok. From doing this for a number of years, we’ve learned that teams are much better at replacing assists and digs. Where teams can struggle is with Points Lost and getting to 45% or higher is a red flag. Points are kills plus aces plus blocks.

Here are the three conferences in Region V that we’ll cover in this article. Trinity Washington will follow them. Each table shows not only the Points Lost but also assists and digs lost to graduation. I also include the Points/Set number from last season. Remember that 18+ is elite, 17+ typically gets you into the NCAA Tournament, 16+ is good and then we go down from there. Below the table, I’ll give out some general thoughts but not go specifically into each team. Oh, one item to note is that I’m not moving teams to new conferences in this effort.

Atlantic East

Okay…not our best DIII volleyball conference here. Marymount took home the Automatic Qualifier (AQ) last season finishing second in Points/Set but first in NPI (50.11). I guess you can say that this is a competitive conference but no one really stands out in either Points/Set or NPI. Marywood didn’t have the greatest of seasons and will start things off on the wrong foot as they lose the most points in the conference and are above the dreaded 45% mark. Marymount is just under that mark and lose their setter and libero so expect a dip here. That does open the door for Neumann and maybe Gwynedd Mercy. Neumann looks to be the favorite here as they spend their last season in the Atlantic East before moving to the Middle Atlantic. Both of the teams that finished at the bottom of Points/Set will return most everyone in Immaculata and Centenary (NJ). That should tighten up the race a bit.

Centennial

Here we have a volleyball conference! The Centennial received two at-large bids with Swarthmore just missing out. Those bids went to Gettysburg and Franklin & Marshall as Johns Hopkins took the AQ leading in both Points/Set and NPI (72.01). Johns Hopkins will face a little adversity this season as they lose over 57% of their points, their libero and a setter. They also lose Coach Matt Troy but he could be annoying at times so let’s call that a win for the Blue Jays. (Love you, Matt.) Everyone else is under the 45% mark so this conference could be a blast in 2025. Most of the setters look to be staying as do the liberos. I’m not too concerned over Johns Hopkins as they are always pretty good and are starting from an 18.59 Points/Sets base. With that said, I expect either Gettysburg or Franklin & Marshall to take the AQ in 2025. My dark horse is Swarthmore here. I don’t think you can discount Ursinus, Washington College, Haverford or even Dickinson in this conference based on who they have returning. I didn’t mention Muhlenberg who often have a good team but they are close to that 45% mark and everyone else should be better. Low team on the pole was Bryn Mawr but they are returning the most so things will definitely tighten up in this conference top to bottom.

Landmark

The defending champions, Juniata, have never NOT won their AQ but look at those losses. I believe they also lost three ball boys, an antenna and a drinking fountain (one of Kennedy Christy’s serves broke it in practice). Tough times in store, it seems. On the flip side half of the teams in conference are above the 45% mark as Scranton, Lycoming, Wilkes and Susquehanna also find themselves in a bit of trouble due to graduation. The best team not mentioned per Points/Set was Moravian. The best team per NPI not mentioned was Elizabethtown (52.75). Do we think either of these teams pass by a rebuilding (or reloading) Juniata team? I don’t think so. What we do know is that things should be more competitive in this conference next season. Wilkes and Lycoming are going to struggle with those losses. Susquehanna is probably also going to take a step back as their Points/Set doesn’t really jive with their NPI or record and then factor in almost 70% points lost. I think it’s still going to be Juniata for the AQ here with Scranton maybe doing enough to hold steady. It will be interesting to see if another team or two passes by Scranton in this conference. Goucher has the least amount lost but also a long way to travel to put themselves in the mix.

Trinity Washington (Independent)

Yikes. Tough 2024 season and they lose over half their points and their libero. They have a 4.51 Points/Set base to work off from so I see more of the same here.

That does it for Region V. Sorry you have to go digging into other articles to get the full picture. It is a bit fascinating to see the two big powers of this region (Juniata and Johns Hopkins) lose so much. It will be interesting to see if anyone else can capitalize on their losses. Here’s the thing I learned after doing so many conference predictions; don’t bet against the king. Statistics will tell you something but power programs can recruit and always seem to have an answer despite their losses. I’ll give the last word to Omar Little who said, “You come at the king, you best not miss.” It’s open season in this region on the kings.

Remember to visit the D3VbWest Store for the merch you had no clue you needed!